Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.392411 0.504513 0.625881 0.765341 0.919623 1.083727 1.270192
2025-09-21 0.216275 0.358163 0.529651 0.743422 0.995552 1.277598 1.611671
2025-09-28 0.155398 0.312678 0.517947 0.786754 1.115068 1.491796 1.946894
2025-10-05 0.116573 0.284389 0.519284 0.839563 1.241345 1.711008 2.286308
2025-10-12 0.085449 0.257102 0.514790 0.879260 1.347085 1.902394 2.590242
2025-10-19 0.068394 0.247050 0.530749 0.942999 1.480768 2.125823 2.930841
2025-10-26 0.051682 0.231832 0.535980 0.990178 1.592038 2.321188 3.237546
2025-11-02 0.032348 0.202801 0.515941 0.999894 1.653417 2.454459 3.469336
2025-11-09 0.011663 0.153260 0.455318 0.947423 1.630384 2.481313 3.571402
2025-11-16 0.001350 0.108842 0.393342 0.886408 1.591336 2.484742 3.642211
2025-11-23 NaN 0.084363 0.361542 0.866442 1.604519 2.551519 3.788221
2025-11-30 NaN 0.072147 0.351475 0.878492 1.660438 2.671802 3.999320
2025-12-07 NaN 0.055502 0.328890 0.871232 1.692266 2.765495 4.183621
2025-12-14 NaN 0.038621 0.299492 0.850358 1.704019 2.833311 4.336576
2025-12-21 NaN 0.036827 0.309709 0.896094 1.810476 3.023878 4.642192
2025-12-28 NaN 0.037176 0.326188 0.952790 1.932944 3.235652 4.974721
2026-01-04 NaN 0.035048 0.334539 0.995132 2.034618 3.420256 5.273343
2026-01-11 NaN 0.037417 0.357348 1.063106 2.173702 3.654159 5.634073
2026-01-18 NaN 0.036752 0.370125 1.113316 2.287010 3.854334 5.952656
2026-01-25 NaN 0.029977 0.360826 1.123649 2.341858 3.977488 6.174429
2026-02-01 NaN 0.016091 0.316672 1.067813 2.297709 3.968765 6.229197
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005985 0.270498 1.002773 2.236659 3.935359 6.250923
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002319 0.248474 0.981462 2.239701 3.986313 6.378542